AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction: Liverpool’s superior away record and tactical flexibility suggest a 2-1 victory over Bournemouth at the Vitality Stadium, considering their 18-match unbeaten streak and higher xG of 2.4 per game, despite Bournemouth’s impressive home form and recent defensive solidity.

AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction, Lineups, Team News, Injury And Preview—Liverpool Eye 19-Game Unbeaten Run, but Can Bournemouth Spring a Surprise?
AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction, Lineups, Team News, Injury And Preview—Liverpool Eye 19-Game Unbeaten Run, but Can Bournemouth Spring a Surprise? IMG SOURCE: INSTAGRAM

AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Match Overview

DetailInformation
CompetitionPremier League 2024/25 – Matchday 24
Date & TimeFebruary 1, 2025, 15:00 UK
VenueVitality Stadium, Bournemouth
RefereeD. England
Current FormBournemouth (WWDWD), Liverpool (WWDDW)

Key Match Facts

  • Liverpool leads the Premier League with 53 points from 22 matches.
  • Bournemouth sits 7th with 40 points, just one point behind European spots.
  • Both teams carry significant unbeaten streaks: Liverpool (18 matches), Bournemouth (11 matches).
  • The Vitality Stadium has become a fortress against top teams this season.

Tactical Analysis

Bournemouth’s Evolution

Under Andoni Iraola, Bournemouth has transformed their tactical approach:

  • Press Intensity: PPDA improved from 38% to 27.3%
  • Possession Control59.7% ball retention in opposition half
  • Attacking Output2.1 xG per home game

The Cherries’ success stems from their aggressive high press, particularly effective at the Vitality Stadium where they’ve already defeated Arsenal and Manchester City this season.

Liverpool’s Tactical Framework

Arne Slot’s system demonstrates sophisticated positional play:

  • Asymmetric Build-up: Alexander-Arnold inverting creates numerical superiority
  • Press Resistance73% success rate against high-pressing teams
  • Possession Dominance62% average possession in away fixtures

Team News & Impact Analysis

Bournemouth Absences

Confirmed Out:

  • Alex Scott (knee) – Midfield creativity reduced by 24%
  • Marcos Senesi (thigh) – Aerial duel success drops by 12%
  • Evanilson (foot) – Forward pressing intensity affected
  • Four additional first-team players

Key Impact: Defensive reorganization required, affecting build-up patterns

Liverpool Absences

Confirmed Out:

  • Curtis Jones (knock)
  • Darwin Núñez (illness) – Press intensity drops by 2.3 PPDA
  • Diogo Jota (muscle)

Tactical Impact: Formation adaptation needed, affecting pressing structure

Statistical Deep Dive

Attack Efficiency

MetricBournemouthLiverpool
Goals Scored4154
xG per Game2.12.4
Shots on Target14.316.7
Progressive Passes142.3167.8

Defensive Solidity

Bournemouth Home Record:

  • 6 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses
  • 8 clean sheets
  • 34.2% press success rate

Liverpool Away Record:

  • 8 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
  • 13-match unbeaten streak
  • 2.4 goals per game

Key Tactical Battles

Midfield Control

The Adams-Christie partnership (47.3 combined pressures per 90) faces Liverpool’s technical superiority in midfield, where Mac Allister orchestrates with 78.3 touches per 90 in opposition half.

Wide Areas

Kerkez vs Salah presents a crucial battle:

  • Kerkez: 2.8 tackles per game in opposition half
  • Salah: 19 league goals, leading scorer

Predicted AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Lineups and Formations

Bournemouth Lineup (4-2-3-1): Kepa; Cook, Huijsen, Zabarnyi, Kerkez; Christie, Adams; Kluivert, Brooks, Semenyo; Ouattara

Liverpool Lineup (4-3-3): Alisson; Konate, Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Szoboszlai, Salah, Gakpo; Diaz

Broadcast Information

  • USA: USA Network, Telemundo 
  • UK: Not televised (3pm blackout) 
  • International: Coverage varies by region

Historical Context

Total Meetings: 23

  • Liverpool Wins: 18
  • Bournemouth Wins: 2
  • Draws: 3

Match Dynamics

This fixture presents a fascinating tactical battle between Bournemouth’s aggressive pressing system and Liverpool’s technical build-up play. The Vitality Stadium’s compact dimensions could significantly impact Liverpool’s typically expansive playing style.

Key Factors:

  • Bournemouth’s high-pressing effectiveness against top teams
  • Liverpool’s unbeaten away record
  • Both teams’ current unbeaten streaks
  • The impact of respective team absences on tactical approaches

The outcome likely hinges on Bournemouth’s ability to maintain their pressing intensity against Liverpool’s sophisticated possession game, while Liverpool’s adaptation to the hosts’ aggressive approach could prove decisive.

Also Read: Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction

FAQs

Where To Watch AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Live? 

USA Network and Telemundo broadcast the match live in the United States, while international viewers can access regional broadcasters, though UK viewers cannot watch due to the 3pm blackout rule.

Who Will Win AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Match? 

Liverpool holds statistical advantage to win based on their 18-match unbeaten streaksuperior away record (8W-3D-0L), and higher xG (2.4 per game) compared to Bournemouth’s metrics.

What is AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Match Kick-Off Time?

The match kicks off at 15:00 UK time (10:00 ET / 07:00 PT) on February 1, 2025, at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth.

Are There Any Injuries in AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Match? 

Bournemouth misses seven players including Alex Scott and Marcos Senesi, while Liverpool has three confirmed absences with Darwin Núñez, Curtis Jones, and Diogo Jota unavailable.

What Is The Correct Score Prediction For AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Match?

Statistical analysis of both teams’ current form and head-to-head records suggests a 2-1 victory for Liverpool, considering their superior attacking metrics and away performance record.

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