AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction: Liverpool’s superior away record and tactical flexibility suggest a 2-1 victory over Bournemouth at the Vitality Stadium, considering their 18-match unbeaten streak and higher xG of 2.4 per game, despite Bournemouth’s impressive home form and recent defensive solidity.

In Today’s Match Prediction
AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Match Overview
Detail | Information |
---|---|
Competition | Premier League 2024/25 – Matchday 24 |
Date & Time | February 1, 2025, 15:00 UK |
Venue | Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth |
Referee | D. England |
Current Form | Bournemouth (WWDWD), Liverpool (WWDDW) |
Key Match Facts
- Liverpool leads the Premier League with 53 points from 22 matches.
- Bournemouth sits 7th with 40 points, just one point behind European spots.
- Both teams carry significant unbeaten streaks: Liverpool (18 matches), Bournemouth (11 matches).
- The Vitality Stadium has become a fortress against top teams this season.
Tactical Analysis
Bournemouth’s Evolution
Under Andoni Iraola, Bournemouth has transformed their tactical approach:
- Press Intensity: PPDA improved from 38% to 27.3%
- Possession Control: 59.7% ball retention in opposition half
- Attacking Output: 2.1 xG per home game
The Cherries’ success stems from their aggressive high press, particularly effective at the Vitality Stadium where they’ve already defeated Arsenal and Manchester City this season.
Liverpool’s Tactical Framework
Arne Slot’s system demonstrates sophisticated positional play:
- Asymmetric Build-up: Alexander-Arnold inverting creates numerical superiority
- Press Resistance: 73% success rate against high-pressing teams
- Possession Dominance: 62% average possession in away fixtures
Team News & Impact Analysis
Bournemouth Absences
Confirmed Out:
- Alex Scott (knee) – Midfield creativity reduced by 24%
- Marcos Senesi (thigh) – Aerial duel success drops by 12%
- Evanilson (foot) – Forward pressing intensity affected
- Four additional first-team players
Key Impact: Defensive reorganization required, affecting build-up patterns
Liverpool Absences
Confirmed Out:
- Curtis Jones (knock)
- Darwin Núñez (illness) – Press intensity drops by 2.3 PPDA
- Diogo Jota (muscle)
Tactical Impact: Formation adaptation needed, affecting pressing structure
Statistical Deep Dive
Attack Efficiency
Metric | Bournemouth | Liverpool |
---|---|---|
Goals Scored | 41 | 54 |
xG per Game | 2.1 | 2.4 |
Shots on Target | 14.3 | 16.7 |
Progressive Passes | 142.3 | 167.8 |
Defensive Solidity
Bournemouth Home Record:
- 6 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses
- 8 clean sheets
- 34.2% press success rate
Liverpool Away Record:
- 8 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses
- 13-match unbeaten streak
- 2.4 goals per game
Key Tactical Battles
Midfield Control
The Adams-Christie partnership (47.3 combined pressures per 90) faces Liverpool’s technical superiority in midfield, where Mac Allister orchestrates with 78.3 touches per 90 in opposition half.
Wide Areas
Kerkez vs Salah presents a crucial battle:
- Kerkez: 2.8 tackles per game in opposition half
- Salah: 19 league goals, leading scorer
Predicted AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Lineups and Formations
Bournemouth Lineup (4-2-3-1): Kepa; Cook, Huijsen, Zabarnyi, Kerkez; Christie, Adams; Kluivert, Brooks, Semenyo; Ouattara
Liverpool Lineup (4-3-3): Alisson; Konate, Alexander-Arnold, Van Dijk, Robertson; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Szoboszlai, Salah, Gakpo; Diaz
Broadcast Information
- USA: USA Network, Telemundo
- UK: Not televised (3pm blackout)
- International: Coverage varies by region
Historical Context
Total Meetings: 23
- Liverpool Wins: 18
- Bournemouth Wins: 2
- Draws: 3
Match Dynamics
This fixture presents a fascinating tactical battle between Bournemouth’s aggressive pressing system and Liverpool’s technical build-up play. The Vitality Stadium’s compact dimensions could significantly impact Liverpool’s typically expansive playing style.
Key Factors:
- Bournemouth’s high-pressing effectiveness against top teams
- Liverpool’s unbeaten away record
- Both teams’ current unbeaten streaks
- The impact of respective team absences on tactical approaches
The outcome likely hinges on Bournemouth’s ability to maintain their pressing intensity against Liverpool’s sophisticated possession game, while Liverpool’s adaptation to the hosts’ aggressive approach could prove decisive.
Also Read: Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction
FAQs
Where To Watch AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Live?
USA Network and Telemundo broadcast the match live in the United States, while international viewers can access regional broadcasters, though UK viewers cannot watch due to the 3pm blackout rule.
Who Will Win AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Match?
Liverpool holds statistical advantage to win based on their 18-match unbeaten streak, superior away record (8W-3D-0L), and higher xG (2.4 per game) compared to Bournemouth’s metrics.
What is AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Match Kick-Off Time?
The match kicks off at 15:00 UK time (10:00 ET / 07:00 PT) on February 1, 2025, at the Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth.
Are There Any Injuries in AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Match?
Bournemouth misses seven players including Alex Scott and Marcos Senesi, while Liverpool has three confirmed absences with Darwin Núñez, Curtis Jones, and Diogo Jota unavailable.
What Is The Correct Score Prediction For AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool Match?
Statistical analysis of both teams’ current form and head-to-head records suggests a 2-1 victory for Liverpool, considering their superior attacking metrics and away performance record.