Arsenal vs Newcastle United Prediction: Arsenal’s strong home record combined with Newcastle’s defensive absences suggests a 2-1 victory for the Gunners in this EFL Cup semi-final first leg, considering Arsenal’s 13-match unbeaten run and their average of 2.1 goals per home game this season.
Arsenal vs Newcastle United: EFL Cup Semi-Final First Leg Preview
| Competition | EFL Cup Semi-Final First Leg |
|---|---|
| Date | January 7, 2025 |
| Time | 20:00 GMT |
| Venue | Emirates Stadium, London |
| Home Team | Arsenal (2nd in Premier League) |
| Away Team | Newcastle United (5th in Premier League) |
| Referee | TBA |
Key Facts
- Arsenal enter this match unbeaten in 13 consecutive matches across all competitions.
- Newcastle United have won their last six matches in all competitions.
- The Magpies defeated Tottenham 2-1 in their previous match.
- Arsenal drew 1-1 with Brighton in their last outing.
- Both teams aim to end significant trophy droughts – Arsenal’s last League Cup win was in 1993.
Table of Contents
Match Context and Significance
This EFL Cup semi-final first leg presents both teams with a realistic opportunity for silverware. Arsenal, hosting the first leg at the Emirates Stadium, maintain strong home form this season, remaining undefeated on their own turf. Newcastle United arrive in excellent form, scoring multiple goals in their last eight consecutive matches.
Arsenal vs Newcastle United Linups, Team News and Formations
Arsenal face several selection challenges. Ethan Nwaneri, who scored against Brighton, sustained a muscular injury and will miss multiple weeks. Kai Havertz remains doubtful due to illness, while Bukayo Saka, Raheem Sterling, Ben White, and Takehiro Tomiyasu continue their recovery from various injuries.
Expected Arsenal Lineup and Formation (4-3-3): Raya; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Lewis-Skelly; Odegaard, Partey, Rice; Martinelli, Jesus, Trossard.
Newcastle United must cope without suspended duo Fabian Schar and Bruno Guimaraes. Additional absences include Emil Krafth (shoulder), Nick Pope (knee), Callum Wilson (thigh), and Jamaal Lascelles (knee). Sven Botman might be rested after experiencing cramp in the Tottenham victory.
Expected Newcastle Lineup and Formation (4-3-3): Dubravka; Trippier, Kelly, Burn, Hall; Longstaff, Tonali, Joelinton; Murphy, Isak, Gordon
Recent Form Analysis
- Arsenal’s last six matches: D-W-W-W-W-D (13 matches unbeaten overall)
- Newcastle’s last six matches: W-W-W-W-W-W (scoring multiple goals in each game)
Head-to-Head Record
Recent meetings between these sides have been closely contested. Newcastle secured a 1-0 victory in their Premier League encounter earlier this season, while Arsenal won the previous meeting 4-1 at the Emirates. Their last cup meeting resulted in a competitive match with multiple goals.
Broadcast Information
The match broadcasts globally across various platforms. UK viewers can watch on ITV and Sky Sports, while US audiences can access the game through Paramount+. Multiple international broadcasters will provide coverage in their respective regions.
Statistical Analysis
Arsenal maintain impressive defensive statistics at home this season, while Newcastle demonstrate significant attacking prowess in recent matches. The Gunners average 2.1 goals per home game, while Newcastle score an average of 2.4 goals in their last eight matches.
Current League Standings Impact
Arsenal currently sit second in the Premier League with 40 points from 20 matches, while Newcastle occupy fifth position with 35 points. Both teams balance cup ambitions with their league campaigns, though this competition represents a genuine trophy opportunity.
Match Importance
This first leg holds particular significance as both clubs aim to establish an advantage before the return fixture at St. James’ Park on February 5. The winner of this tie will face either Tottenham Hotspur or Liverpool in the final at Wembley Stadium.
Also Read—All Football Prediction
FAQs
Who Is Likely To Win Newcastle Vs Arsenal?
Arsenal has a strong historical record against Newcastle United, winning 85 out of 193 matches. Arsenal has a chance to win today’s match by 2-1.
Where Can I Watch The Newcastle Match?
You can watch the Arsenal vs. Newcastle United match live on ITV1, Sky Sports Main Event, and Sky Sports Football.
How Many Times Did Arsenal Beat Newcastle?
Arsenal has defeated Newcastle United 85 times in their history.
Why Is Arsenal Vs Newcastle On ITV?
The Arsenal vs. Newcastle United match is broadcast on ITV as part of their agreement with the EFL to provide free-to-air coverage of select Carabao Cup fixtures.
