Everton vs Liverpool Prediction: Liverpool is predicted to beat Everton 2-0 at Goodison Park because their strong current form and dominant head-to-head record favor a convincing win.
Overview Table and Key Facts
| Match | Everton vs Liverpool – Premier League (Gameweek 15) |
|---|---|
| Date & Time | 12 February 2025, 7:30 pm UK |
| Venue | Goodison Park |
| Predicted Win Probability | Liverpool ~78.2%; Draw ~10.0%; Everton ~11.7% |
| Live Coverage | USA Network, Telemundo Deportes En Vivo, NBC Sports App, UNIVERSO NOW (authentication required) |
| Current Standings | Liverpool: 56 points (23 games, +35 GD); Everton: 26 points (23 games) |
Key Facts
- Liverpool have dominated recent derbies with only one home loss since 1999.
- Everton’s historical record in Merseyside derbies is poor, with only 6 wins in 54 matches.
- Key injuries for Liverpool include doubts over Diogo Jota and Federico Chiesa, while Everton miss creative options such as Dwight McNeil.
- Tactically, Liverpool will press high with a 4‑3‑3, whereas Everton are expected to adopt a compact counter-attacking 4‑5‑1.
Predicted Everton vs Liverpool Lineups and Formation
Everton – Expected Formation: 4‑5‑1
- Goalkeeper: Jordan Pickford
- Defenders: O’Brien, Tarkowski, Branthwaite, Mykolenko
- Midfielders: Harrison, Gueye, Garner, Doucoure, Ndiaye
- Forward: Beto
Everton’s lineup is built on a compact system that aims to absorb pressure and launch swift counter-attacks. The five-man midfield is tasked with disrupting Liverpool’s rhythm and providing cover for the back four.
Liverpool – Expected Formation: 4‑3‑3
- Goalkeeper: Alisson
- Defenders: Bradley, Konate, van Dijk, Robertson
- Midfielders: Gravenberch, Mac Allister, Szoboszlai
- Forwards: Mohamed Salah, Luis Diaz, Gakpo
Liverpool’s manager, Arne Slot, is likely to deploy a 4‑3‑3 formation that focuses on high pressing and quick transitions. With wide play from the full-backs and the creative spark provided by Szoboszlai and Mac Allister (notwithstanding Mac Allister’s suspension), the attacking trio spearheaded by Mohamed Salah is expected to challenge Everton’s defense consistently.
Match Preview and Tactical Analysis
This fixture is not only important for the Premier League standings but also for the tradition of the Merseyside derby. The final derby at Goodison Park comes with deep-rooted rivalry and decades of historical context:
Historical Edge: Among 244 previous meetings, Liverpool have won roughly 99, compared to Everton’s 68 wins and 77 draws. Notably, Liverpool have not lost at home to Everton in over two decades.
Recent Form: Liverpool have accumulated 56 points from 23 matches with a +35 goal difference, while Everton languish in 16th place with 26 points.
Tactical Approaches: Everton’s manager will likely opt for a disciplined, counter-attacking 4‑5‑1 structure. Their plan is to remain compact and rely on pace on the break. In contrast, Liverpool’s high-press 4‑3‑3 will aim to dominate possession and create chances early, exploiting the width provided by overlapping full-backs.
Key Questions
How will Everton’s midfield cope with Liverpool’s relentless pressing?
Can Liverpool’s attacking trio break down a resolute Everton defense?
What impact will the ongoing injury concerns have on each team’s tactical setup?
Injury Updates – Impactful and Key Injuries
Liverpool Injuries and Suspensions
- Diogo Jota: Currently a major doubt due to an abdominal injury; his absence might reduce Liverpool’s attacking potency.
- Federico Chiesa: Not fully fit after an injury-riddled period; his creative influence is uncertain in this high-stakes match.
- Alisson: Sidelined with a hamstring problem but expected to return before December’s end; his reappearance is critical at the back.
- Alexis Mac Allister: Set to serve a one-match suspension for accumulating five yellow cards.
Everton Injuries
Dwight McNeil: Recently underwent minor knee surgery, which has kept him out of action; his dynamic play on the wing is sorely missed.
Plus, other forward options such as Youssef Chermiti and Armando Broja are currently unavailable, further limiting Everton’s attacking options.
The injury list on both sides creates significant tactical challenges. Liverpool have the depth to cover absences, while Everton might find themselves short of creativity and pace.
Historical Performance and Head-to-Head Analysis
Historical Context
The Merseyside derby boasts a long history dating back to the early 1960s. Out of 244 meetings between the two clubs, Liverpool have won close to 99 times, while Everton have recorded 68 wins. Over recent decades, Liverpool have held a distinct advantage, especially at home, where they have not lost to Everton since 1999.
Recent Derby Trends
In the last 10 Premier League derbies, Liverpool have secured multiple wins by narrow margins – commonly 2–0 victories that underscore their dominance.
Everton, though occasionally capable of a strong counter-attack, continue to see their efforts thwarted by Liverpool’s superior tactical organization and quality in depth.
This historical edge combined with current form gives Liverpool an overwhelming psychological advantage heading into the game.
Live Broadcast and Streaming Information
For viewers wishing to watch the match live:
In the USA, the game is broadcast on USA Network, Telemundo Deportes En Vivo, NBC Sports App, and UNIVERSO NOW.
Internationally, fans can access streams using platforms like Fubo TV (free trial available) and Sling TV.
Please consult your local provider for authentication details, as access may require verification through your TV or internet subscription.
Prediction and Statistical Analysis
Based on verified match data, recent team performance, and historical head-to-head records, the balance strongly tilts in favor of Liverpool. Our analysis indicates:
Liverpool’s win probability stands at approximately 78.2%.
A draw is estimated at about 10.0%, while an Everton victory is unlikely at only around 11.7%.
This projection aligns with Liverpool’s superior goal difference, current league position, and historical performance. Their tactical fluidity and attacking depth are expected to decisively determine the outcome.
Key Player Impact and Tactical Insights
For Liverpool, the following players are crucial:
- Mohamed Salah: With 21 league goals this season and a proven ability to create chances under pressure, Salah will be the main catalyst in Liverpool’s attack.
- Luis Diaz: His dribbling and incisive passing are anticipated to unlock Everton’s compact defense.
- Cody Gakpo: His pace and finishing have been highly impressive, adding another dimension to Liverpool’s forward line.
For Everton, success will depend on the ability of their midfield to provide quick counter-attacks. However, their missing creative players and historical struggles in derby fixtures remain significant challenges.
Latest League Standings and News
Current league statistics clearly favor Liverpool:
- Liverpool: 56 points from 23 matches, with a +35 goal difference that underscores their dominance.
- Everton: 26 points from 23 matches, placing them in 16th place.
These contrasting performances, bolstered by recent news about match-day preparations and injury setbacks at Everton, reaffirm Liverpool’s strong position heading into the derby.
Conclusion
In summary, the final Goodison Park Merseyside derby on 12 February 2025 promises to be a memorable encounter steeped in rivalry and historical significance. With Liverpool’s high-pressing 4‑3‑3 formation, dynamic attacking trio, and a well-documented superior head-to-head record, they are prime favorites in this match. Meanwhile, Everton’s compact 4‑5‑1 and their ongoing injury concerns put them at a disadvantage despite recent glimpses of resilience.
The tactical battle between the two managers, the injury shadows over key players like Diogo Jota for Liverpool and Dwight McNeil for Everton, along with the stark contrast in current league form, all point to a likely Liverpool victory. Fans can catch the live action via multiple streaming platforms, ensuring that every moment of this historic fixture is accessible worldwide.
Ultimately, the combination of historical precedence and present form suggests that Liverpool will control the game and secure a convincing win.
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Key Takeaways Recap
- Liverpool are projected to win given their superior current form, history, and tactical approach.
- Everton will rely on counter-attacks but are hampered by a weak injury list and a poor head-to-head record.
- The predicted lineups and formations underline the strategic differences—Everton in a 4‑5‑1 and Liverpool in a 4‑3‑3—each reflecting their approach to home and away pressures.
- Watching live may require authentication on platforms such as USA Network and NBC Sports App, making it important for fans to check local broadcast details.
